Dezembro 1-4 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 52%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.65/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.38
-48% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sporting CP II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.01.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-0 HT 2-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
17.09.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-4
AWAY Sporting CP II
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II cruised past Dezembro 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Sporting CP II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 35% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 65%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dezembro and 1.50 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Sporting CP II?

Dezembro 1-4 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 30%, draw 31%, Sporting CP II 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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