Sporting Covilha 2-2 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.94/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.30
+52% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico CP
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
18.08.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
04.04.2015 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
23.03.2014 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
2-2
AWAY Atletico CP
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha and Atletico CP couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Covilha at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 42% of the ball to Atletico CP's 58%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico CP led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.75 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP?

Sporting Covilha 2-2 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 43%, draw 27%, Atletico CP 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Covilha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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