Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 40%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.19
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-1 HT 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
08.08.2023 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-0 HT 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1-0
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa nicked a narrow win over Felgueiras 1932 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 39% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 61%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Felgueiras 1932 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 1.00 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Felgueiras 1932?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 41%, draw 25%, Felgueiras 1932 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✗ Over 2.5
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