Varzim vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varzim v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Alverca
POR
4-2
HT 2-1
Varzim
POR
Varzim 0-1 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca squeezed past Varzim 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Alverca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Varzim had 51% of the ball to Alverca's 49%, shots finished 10-13.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Varzim and 2.00 for Alverca.
What was the final score of Varzim vs Alverca?
Varzim 0-1 Alverca in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varzim vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varzim 38%, draw 28%, Alverca 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Varzim) went the other way.