Lusitano Évora 1911 3-1 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.09
No
46%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.60
+150% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +117%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
3-1
AWAY Amora FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitano Évora 1911 got the better of Amora FC 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lusitano Évora 1911 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 61% of the ball to Amora FC's 39%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Amora FC?

Lusitano Évora 1911 3-1 Amora FC in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 50%, draw 28%, Amora FC 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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