CF Os Belenenses 0-2 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.26/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.48
-6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Caldas
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
02.08.2024 CF Os Belenenses 2-1 HT 2-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
19.02.2023 Caldas Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
06.11.2022 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0-2
AWAY Caldas
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas beat CF Os Belenenses 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CF Os Belenenses at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 61% of the ball to Caldas's 39%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 0.75 for Caldas.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?

CF Os Belenenses 0-2 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 41%, draw 28%, Caldas 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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