Sporting Covilha vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Academica — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sporting Covilha 1-0 Academica — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha edged past Academica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Academica at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 44% of the ball to Academica's 56%, shots finished 4-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.50 for Academica.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Academica?
Sporting Covilha 1-0 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Academica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 25%, draw 23%, Academica 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Academica), Over 2.5 went the other way.