Sporting Covilha 1-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.10/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.04
-14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Academica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Academica Academica 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
10.11.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 3-4 HT 2-1 Academica Academica POR3
11.08.2024 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
07.04.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
10.02.2024 Academica Academica 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
21.01.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 3-2 HT 2-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
1-1
AWAY Academica
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha and Academica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 48% of the ball to Academica's 52%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.67 for Academica.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Academica?

Sporting Covilha 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 33%, draw 28%, Academica 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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