Amarante vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amarante v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Amarante vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
POK
Amarante 2-1 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Amarante nicked a narrow win over Varzim 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Amarante had 51% of the ball to Varzim's 49%, shots finished 10-6.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Amarante had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Amarante and 0.75 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Amarante vs Varzim?
Amarante 2-1 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amarante vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Amarante 41%, draw 27%, Varzim 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.