Lusitania 0-0 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.71
Over 2.5
34%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
47%
-10.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
55%
+11.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
45%
-11.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.1pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.87/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.36
-27% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -56%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
233 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Caldas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 1-1 Lusitania Lusitania POR3
10.11.2024 Lusitania Lusitania 1-4 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
11.08.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Lusitania Lusitania POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania
0-0
AWAY Caldas
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lusitania vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania and Caldas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lusitania had 53% of the ball to Caldas's 47%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caldas led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lusitania and 2.33 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Lusitania vs Caldas?

Lusitania 0-0 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 34%, draw 30%, Caldas 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caldas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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