Sporting Braga II 1-0 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.25/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.43
-2% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Amarante
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.01.2025 Amarante Amarante 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
29.09.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
1-0
AWAY Amarante
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II edged past Amarante 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Braga II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 59% of the ball to Amarante's 41%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Braga II and 0.50 for Amarante.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Amarante?

Sporting Braga II 1-0 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 42%, draw 28%, Amarante 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5
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