Fafe 2-0 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.4pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.04/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.04
-32% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 4-1 HT 1-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
28.09.2024 Fafe Fafe 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
29.04.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
07.04.2023 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-2 HT 1-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
18.12.2022 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 2-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
2-0
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe got the better of Sao Joao Ver 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fafe had 42% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 58%, shots finished 16-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Fafe and 1.60 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Sao Joao Ver?

Fafe 2-0 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fafe 49%, draw 26%, Sao Joao Ver 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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