Paredes 2-0 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paredes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 22%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.70/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-54% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paredes
2-0
AWAY AD Marco 09
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paredes vs AD Marco 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paredes saw off AD Marco 09 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paredes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paredes had 42% of the ball to AD Marco 09's 58%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Paredes vs AD Marco 09?

Paredes 2-0 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paredes vs AD Marco 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Paredes 50%, draw 24%, AD Marco 09 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paredes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paredes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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