Mafra 3-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +15%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.10
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
3-1
AWAY Dezembro
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra got the better of Dezembro 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mafra as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mafra had 42% of the ball to Dezembro's 58%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Dezembro?

Mafra 3-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mafra 42%, draw 31%, Dezembro 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mafra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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