FC Goa 2-1 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 14 Mar 2024

FC Goa
2-1 HT 1-1
Bengaluru
📅14/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

FC Goa vs Bengaluru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.29
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
7%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Goa v Bengaluru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.29
-40% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
27.7 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

FC Goa vs Bengaluru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bengaluru
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
315 Passes 191
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.01.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HINSK
25.10.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
23.02.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
26.11.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
23.01.2022 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
11.12.2021 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL

FC Goa 2-1 Bengaluru — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
2-1
AWAY Bengaluru
1.82 xG 0.66
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
487 Passes 188
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
45 Box Touches 7
48 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa squeezed past Bengaluru 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Goa had 68% of the ball to Bengaluru's 32%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.82 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Goa and 1.17 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Bengaluru?

FC Goa 2-1 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 50%, draw 24%, Bengaluru 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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