Colo Colo 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-14.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+9.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +80% / +80%
2.26/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.33
-59% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% /
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
24.7 Crosses 13.0
0.4 Yellow Cards 8.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colo Colo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 0.40
80% Ball Possession 20%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
573 Passes 114
90% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colo Colo
2-1
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
2.21 xG 0.30
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
395 Passes 142
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
29 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colo Colo vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colo Colo nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Trinidense 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colo Colo as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colo Colo had 67% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 33%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.21 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colo Colo's control.

What was the final score of Colo Colo vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Colo Colo 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense in the Copa Libertadores on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colo Colo vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Colo Colo 58%, draw 23%, Sportivo Trinidense 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colo Colo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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