Bristol City 2-1 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.81
X/2
9%
6.89
X/X
8%
4.42
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
14%
5.16
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.39/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.44
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.1 Crosses 14.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Norwich City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
364 Passes 400
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 0-2 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
20.04.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
03.12.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
29.08.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNLK
11.02.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
14.09.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 3-2 HT 2-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
2-1
AWAY Norwich City
1.14 xG 2.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
313 Passes 398
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City nicked a narrow win over Norwich City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bristol City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bristol City had 45% of the ball to Norwich City's 55%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.14 to 2.66 — on chances, Norwich City could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bristol City and 1.17 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Norwich City?

Bristol City 2-1 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 43%, draw 27%, Norwich City 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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