Las Palmas 2-2 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.35
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.21
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.76
X/2
14%
5.6
X/X
16%
3.61
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.02
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.07/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.55
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
17.8 Crosses 21.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.66 xG 1.57
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
490 Passes 189
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
26.05.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
09.12.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
27.05.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
03.09.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
22.04.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-4 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.77 xG 1.68
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 198
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and Deportivo Alaves couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 39%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.77 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Las Palmas and 1.33 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves?

Las Palmas 2-2 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 36%, draw 28%, Deportivo Alaves 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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