Deportivo Alaves 2-0 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.32
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.1
X/1
18%
3.72
X/2
5%
9.05
X/X
11%
4.29
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
10%
7.94
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.50/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.55
-12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.6 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.75 xG 0.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
197 Passes 487
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
09.12.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
27.05.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
03.09.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
22.04.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-4 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
08.12.2017 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2-0
AWAY Las Palmas
2.04 xG 0.68
29% Ball Possession 71%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
167 Passes 524
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves saw off Las Palmas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Alaves as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 29% of the ball to Las Palmas's 71%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.04 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.50 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Las Palmas?

Deportivo Alaves 2-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 50%, draw 27%, Las Palmas 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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