Sevilla 0-2 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Sep 2024

Sevilla
0-2 HT 0-1
Girona
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Sevilla vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.92
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.94
X/2
10%
5.23
X/X
12%
5.13
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
16%
3.28
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sevilla v Girona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.01/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.29
+9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
22.7 Crosses 19.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sevilla vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Girona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Girona Girona 5-1 HT 3-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
26.08.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS1
01.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 0-2 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
14.01.2023 Girona Girona 2-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
28.04.2019 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
16.12.2018 Sevilla Sevilla 2-0 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1

Sevilla 0-2 Girona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
0-2
AWAY Girona
0.97 xG 1.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
366 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona got the better of Sevilla 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Girona made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sevilla had 49% of the ball to Girona's 51%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.97 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sevilla and 2.00 for Girona.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Girona?

Sevilla 0-2 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 37%, draw 25%, Girona 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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