Real Oviedo 1-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Mar 2025

Real Oviedo
1-1 HT 0-1
Elche
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Real Oviedo vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.96
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
12%
14.9
X/1
20%
4.3
X/2
13%
7.32
X/X
10%
3.45
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
7%
6.59
2/X
9%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Oviedo v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.21/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.18
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.2 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Real Oviedo vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Elche
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Elche Elche 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
05.04.2024 Elche Elche 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
15.12.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-2 HT 1-2 Elche Elche İS2
20.07.2020 Elche Elche 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
15.09.2019 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
09.02.2019 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2

Real Oviedo 1-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-1
AWAY Elche
3.31 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
365 Passes 399
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo and Elche couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 49% of the ball to Elche's 51%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 3.31 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.83 for Elche.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Elche?

Real Oviedo 1-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 42%, draw 32%, Elche 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Oviedo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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