Etoile Carouge 0-0 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
12%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.31/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.83
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
8.0 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Thun
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.72 xG 2.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
478 Passes 237
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2024 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
09.08.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 0-2 HT 0-2 Thun Thun İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
0-0
AWAY Thun
0.38 xG 1.36
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
461 Passes 267
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge and Thun played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Thun at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 62% of the ball to Thun's 38%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.38 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Etoile Carouge and 2.00 for Thun.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Thun?

Etoile Carouge 0-0 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 34%, draw 25%, Thun 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Thun), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →