Palermo 2-3 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Mar 2025

Palermo
2-3 HT 0-0
Cremonese
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Palermo vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.0
X/1
15%
5.79
X/2
11%
6.04
X/X
10%
4.0
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
14%
4.08
2/X
9%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.28/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.12
-3% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
21.4 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Palermo vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cremonese
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
320 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
24.02.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 2-2 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
26.12.2023 Palermo Palermo 3-2 HT 1-2 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
26.01.2019 Cremonese Cremonese 2-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
31.08.2018 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
14.04.2018 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB

Palermo 2-3 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2-3
AWAY Cremonese
1.27 xG 2.99
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
221 Passes 332
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese squeezed past Palermo 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cremonese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Palermo had 42% of the ball to Cremonese's 58%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.27 to 2.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cremonese's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Palermo and 1.50 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Cremonese?

Palermo 2-3 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Palermo 39%, draw 27%, Cremonese 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Palermo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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