Magdeburg 0-3 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Mar 2025

Magdeburg
0-3 HT 0-2
Hamburg
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Magdeburg vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.4
1/2
6%
24.7
1/X
5%
12.05
X/1
15%
5.91
X/2
11%
6.24
X/X
8%
5.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.4
2/2
19%
3.7
2/X
13%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magdeburg v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 39%
-18% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.36/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.67
-20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
16.0 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Magdeburg vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hamburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
352 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Hamburg Hamburg 3-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
14.04.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-2 HT 2-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
04.11.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
29.04.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
23.10.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 2-3 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
08.04.2019 Hamburg Hamburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2

Magdeburg 0-3 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
0-3
AWAY Hamburg
1.37 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
469 Passes 378
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
40 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg cruised past Magdeburg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Hamburg made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Magdeburg had 55% of the ball to Hamburg's 45%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.37 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Magdeburg and 2.00 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Hamburg?

Magdeburg 0-3 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 37%, draw 26%, Hamburg 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Magdeburg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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