Hamburg 3-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Oct 2024

Hamburg
3-1
Magdeburg
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Hamburg vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.91
2-3 Goals
32%
2.18
4-5 Goals
29%
2.47
6+ Goals
19%
4.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
22%
4.59
X/2
13%
9.9
X/X
9%
6.71
2/1 EV+
9%
19.0
2/2
10%
6.02
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.3pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamburg v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.98/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.82
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
22.2 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Hamburg vs Magdeburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.81 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
406 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-2 HT 2-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
04.11.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
29.04.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
23.10.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 2-3 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
08.04.2019 Hamburg Hamburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
26.10.2018 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2

Hamburg 3-1 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
3-1
AWAY Magdeburg
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
274 Passes 465
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg saw off Magdeburg 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hamburg had 39% of the ball to Magdeburg's 61%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hamburg and 1.67 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Magdeburg?

Hamburg 3-1 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 48%, draw 24%, Magdeburg 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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