Ulm 1846 0-1 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
13%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.18
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
4%
13.15
X/1
10%
7.55
X/2
14%
4.67
X/X
15%
5.11
2/1 EV+
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.64
2/X
4%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 50%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +27%
1.74/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.28
+26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.0 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 HAZ
16.11.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
0-1
AWAY Karlsruher SC
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
346 Passes 409
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC edged past Ulm 1846 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 46% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 54%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ulm 1846 and 2.00 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Karlsruher SC?

Ulm 1846 0-1 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 30%, draw 24%, Karlsruher SC 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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