Greuther Fürth 0-4 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Oct 2024

Greuther Fürth
0-4 HT 0-3
Nürnberg
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.75
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
11%
4.6
X/2
9%
7.01
X/X
11%
5.09
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
18%
4.93
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.70/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.48
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.2 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 1.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
365 Passes 225
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
15.09.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
04.02.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
23.07.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
21.03.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-2 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
29.11.2020 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-3 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Greuther Fürth 0-4 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
0-4
AWAY Nürnberg
0.51 xG 2.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
417 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg swept aside Greuther Fürth 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 57% of the ball to Nürnberg's 43%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.51 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.33 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg?

Greuther Fürth 0-4 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 42%, draw 25%, Nürnberg 33%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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