Bayern München (K) 3-1 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
22%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.3pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
22%
Away Win
29%
-7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.10.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
23.03.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 0-4 HT 0-0 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
3-1
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
2.19 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
305 Passes 263
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) beat Wolfsburg (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 52% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 48%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.19 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayern München (K) and 1.00 for Wolfsburg (K).

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Bayern München (K) 3-1 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 45%, draw 34%, Wolfsburg (K) 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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