CSA Alagoano 5-0 Tuna Luso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSA Alagoano EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuna Luso EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSA Alagoano
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tuna Luso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2023 Tuna Luso Tuna Luso 0-1 HT 0-1 CSA Alagoano CSA Alagoano BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSA Alagoano
5-0
AWAY Tuna Luso
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSA Alagoano vs Tuna Luso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSA Alagoano ran out comfortable winners over Tuna Luso 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSA Alagoano as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CSA Alagoano had 53% of the ball to Tuna Luso's 47%, shots finished 21-11.

What was the final score of CSA Alagoano vs Tuna Luso?

CSA Alagoano 5-0 Tuna Luso in the Brazil - Cup on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSA Alagoano vs Tuna Luso?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSA Alagoano win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CSA Alagoano 50%, draw 28%, Tuna Luso 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSA Alagoano), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSA Alagoano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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