Vila Nova 6-0 Rio Branco-VN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Branco-VN EU Bookmakers 17%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rio Branco-VN
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 3-0 HT 2-0 Rio Branco-VN Rio Branco-VN BRVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
6-0
AWAY Rio Branco-VN
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs Rio Branco-VN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova cruised past Rio Branco-VN 6-0. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Vila Nova had 65% of the ball to Rio Branco-VN's 35%, shots finished 18-4.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Rio Branco-VN?

Vila Nova 6-0 Rio Branco-VN in the Brazil - Cup on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Rio Branco-VN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 52%, draw 25%, Rio Branco-VN 23%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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