Slavia Sofia 2-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.85/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.72
-29% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
2W-0D-3L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.09.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
17.02.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
19.08.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 3-0 HT 3-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
15.04.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
10.02.2018 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 3-0 HT 2-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
2-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia edged past PFC Beroe 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Slavia Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 56% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 44%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.40 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Slavia Sofia 2-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 37%, draw 28%, PFC Beroe 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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