PFC Beroe 1-0 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 37%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -15%
0.53/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.39
-54% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
19.08.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 3-0 HT 3-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
15.04.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
10.02.2018 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 3-0 HT 2-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
1-0
AWAY Slavia Sofia
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe squeezed past Slavia Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; PFC Beroe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 48% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 52%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.00 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?

PFC Beroe 1-0 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 37%, draw 30%, Slavia Sofia 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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