Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.23
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
16.02.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
18.08.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
29.04.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-4 HT 1-1 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0-0
AWAY Hebar 1918
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and Hebar 1918 fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 51% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 49%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.25 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Hebar 1918?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 45%, draw 25%, Hebar 1918 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
27 Sep 2024
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