Radnik Sesvete 0-1 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.1pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.45/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.97
+29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Jarun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
19.04.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-3 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
17.11.2023 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 2-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
0-1
AWAY Jarun
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun nicked a narrow win over Radnik Sesvete 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Jarun found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 68% of the ball to Jarun's 32%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 1.67 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Jarun?

Radnik Sesvete 0-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 38%, draw 29%, Jarun 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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