Everton U21 1-2 Arsenal U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.39
No
51%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
35%
+9.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.9pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+18.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
2.27/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+42% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.8 Crosses 10.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton U21
1-2
AWAY Arsenal U21
35% Ball Possession 65%
19 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
171 Passes 424
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton U21 vs Arsenal U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U21 nicked a narrow win over Everton U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Everton U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Everton U21 had 35% of the ball to Arsenal U21's 65%, shots finished 19-21.

What was the final score of Everton U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Everton U21 1-2 Arsenal U21 in the INGPL2 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Everton U21 45%, draw 23%, Arsenal U21 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Everton U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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