Stoke City U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City U21 vs Derby County U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Stoke City U21 5-3 Derby County U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City U21 got the better of Derby County U21 5-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stoke City U21 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Stoke City U21 had 40% of the ball to Derby County U21's 60%, shots finished 16-14.
What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Derby County U21?
Stoke City U21 5-3 Derby County U21 in the INGPL2 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Derby County U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 44%, draw 23%, Derby County U21 33%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.