Sofapaka vs Nairobi City Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sofapaka v Nairobi City Stars — Team-Based Signals
Sofapaka vs Nairobi City Stars Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Nairobi City Stars
KEN
3-1
HT 1-0
Nairobi City Stars
KEN2
Sofapaka 2-0 Nairobi City Stars — Actual Match Statistics
Sofapaka saw off Nairobi City Stars 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sofapaka as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Sofapaka had 51% of the ball to Nairobi City Stars's 49%, shots finished 15-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sofapaka and 1.33 for Nairobi City Stars.
What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Nairobi City Stars?
Sofapaka 2-0 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Nairobi City Stars?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 41%, draw 33%, Nairobi City Stars 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sofapaka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.