Nairobi City Stars vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nairobi City Stars v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals
Nairobi City Stars vs Sofapaka Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Nairobi City Stars
KEN
3-1
HT 1-0
Nairobi City Stars
KEN2
Nairobi City Stars 1-1 Sofapaka — Actual Match Statistics
Nairobi City Stars and Sofapaka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Nairobi City Stars had 48% of the ball to Sofapaka's 52%, shots finished 5-4.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nairobi City Stars and 2.00 for Sofapaka.
What was the final score of Nairobi City Stars vs Sofapaka?
Nairobi City Stars 1-1 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nairobi City Stars vs Sofapaka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi City Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nairobi City Stars 38%, draw 31%, Sofapaka 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nairobi City Stars), BTTS No went the other way.