TransMara Sugar 1-0 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
39%
3.18
Away
24%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
39%
Draw
28%
+10.9pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-6.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.4pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 34%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +139% / -72%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar edged past Shabana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 39% / 24% — and on the day TransMara Sugar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Shabana?

TransMara Sugar 1-0 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 37%, draw 39%, Shabana 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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