Posta Rangers 0-3 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 61%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.49/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-55% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posta Rangers
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Gor Mahia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 4-0 HT 1-0 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN
06.02.2022 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 3-1 HT 1-0 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Posta Rangers
0-3
AWAY Gor Mahia
49% Ball Possession 51%
2 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Posta Rangers vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia cruised past Posta Rangers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Posta Rangers had 49% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 51%, shots finished 2-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Posta Rangers and 3.50 for Gor Mahia.

What was the final score of Posta Rangers vs Gor Mahia?

Posta Rangers 0-3 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posta Rangers vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Posta Rangers 25%, draw 25%, Gor Mahia 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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