Tusker 2-1 Posta Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.7pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.27/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.34
+15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Posta Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 1-3 HT 1-2 Tusker Tusker KEN
10.12.2023 Tusker Tusker 0-0 HT 0-0 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN
09.01.2022 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Tusker Tusker KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tusker
2-1
AWAY Posta Rangers
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tusker vs Posta Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker edged past Posta Rangers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tusker as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tusker had 45% of the ball to Posta Rangers's 55%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tusker and 0.67 for Posta Rangers.

What was the final score of Tusker vs Posta Rangers?

Tusker 2-1 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs Posta Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tusker 43%, draw 32%, Posta Rangers 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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