Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.54/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.22
-17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Ekranas
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
16.06.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 2-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
07.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
20.03.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1-0
AWAY Ekranas
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II edged past Ekranas 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 55% of the ball to Ekranas's 45%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ekranas led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.75 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Ekranas?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 51%, draw 24%, Ekranas 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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