Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
41%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-9.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.5pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 39%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.32/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.44
-13% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ekranas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 2-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
07.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
20.03.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II and Ekranas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ekranas led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.67 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Ekranas?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 50%, draw 25%, Ekranas 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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