Panevezys II 3-1 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

Panevezys II
3-1
Garliava
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Panevezys II vs Garliava Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panevezys II v Garliava — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.13/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.39
-16% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.5

Panevezys II vs Garliava Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Garliava
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.06.2024 Garliava Garliava 1-2 HT 0-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
20.10.2023 Garliava Garliava 1-0 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
04.06.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-3 HT 0-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
28.10.2022 Garliava Garliava 0-2 HT 0-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
26.06.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 5-2 HT 2-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II beat Garliava 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Garliava at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Panevezys II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Panevezys II and 1.40 for Garliava.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Garliava?

Panevezys II 3-1 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 30%, draw 29%, Garliava 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Garliava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Garliava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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