02/11/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Tauras Taurage vs Be1 NFA Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS No
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
27%
Draw
24%
42%
Away Win
50%
45%
Under 2.5
41%
55%
Over 2.5
59%
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
51%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tauras Taurage v Be1 NFA — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tauras Taurage
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Be1 NFA
EU Bookmakers 55%
-13% /
-13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
0.51/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.43/1.18
-57%
/
+51%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-19%
/
-22%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
238 · 68%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
348 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.3
Tauras Taurage vs Be1 NFA Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tauras Taurage
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Be1 NFA
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
44%
Ball Possession
56%
13
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
7
3
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Tauras Taurage vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Be1 NFA edged past Tauras Taurage 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Be1 NFA?
Tauras Taurage 0-1 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Be1 NFA?
Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 31%, draw 27%, Be1 NFA 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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2 Nov 2024