Atmosfera 2-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
29%
-7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.4pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 32%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.29/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.95
-16% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
349 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Minija
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
15.06.2024 Minija Minija 3-1 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
04.11.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
02.07.2022 Minija Minija 0-2 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera nicked a narrow win over Minija 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Minija led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atmosfera and 1.67 for Minija.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Minija?

Atmosfera 2-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 51%, draw 28%, Minija 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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