Ekranas 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.57/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.58
-6% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
411 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
07.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
20.03.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekranas got the better of Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ekranas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ekranas and 1.50 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Ekranas 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekranas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 44%, draw 26%, Kauno Zalgiris II 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekranas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ekranas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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