Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
63%
-18.8pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.1pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.73/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.34
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
08.10.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
30.07.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
28.05.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
08.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
09.11.2022 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius nicked a narrow win over FK Panevezys 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 62% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 38%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.17 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 44%, draw 31%, FK Panevezys 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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