Babrungas 1-0 FK BANGA II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.6pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.31/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.76
+32% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FK BANGA II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2022 FK BANGA II 0-2 HT 0-2 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
01.04.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 3-0 HT 1-0 FK BANGA II LIT1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs FK BANGA II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas nicked a narrow win over FK BANGA II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Babrungas and 0.00 for FK BANGA II.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs FK BANGA II?

Babrungas 1-0 FK BANGA II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs FK BANGA II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 49%, draw 30%, FK BANGA II 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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