Radomiak Radom 2-1 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.75
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
9%
7.33
X/X
8%
4.98
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
13%
5.18
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.35
Value flag · 2/X at 13.35 — our 11% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.55/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.76
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
25.2 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.29 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
248 Passes 361
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
25.02.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
14.08.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 4-1 HT 2-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
27.02.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
28.08.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-2 HT 2-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
2-1
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.24 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
204 Passes 269
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom squeezed past Lechia Gdansk 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Radomiak Radom as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 46% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 54%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.24 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.00 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk?

Radomiak Radom 2-1 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 42%, draw 28%, Lechia Gdansk 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomiak Radom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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